The data behind the gauges.
Every public source, named.
No proprietary data. No paid feeds. Every component of every gauge traces back to a publicly-released dataset from a named source. If a number is on this site, you can verify it independently.
United States 🇺🇸
- S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices — 20-city composite + national, monthly via FRED. The repeat-sales gold standard.
- Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) — mortgage rates, housing starts, building permits, existing home sales.
- Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) — weekly 30-year fixed and 15-year fixed rates.
- Redfin Data Center — metro-level median sale price, months of supply, days on market, sale-to-list ratio, monthly.
- National Association of Realtors (NAR) — existing home sales, monthly.
- NAHB Housing Market Index — monthly builder sentiment.
- US Census Bureau — new home sales, housing starts.
Canada 🇨🇦
- CREA (Canadian Real Estate Association) — national and city-level Home Price Index (HPI), monthly.
- Bank of Canada — overnight rate, 5-year posted, effective mortgage rate.
- Statistics Canada — housing starts, household debt service ratio, new housing price index.
- TRREB (Toronto), REBGV (Vancouver), CREB (Calgary), QPAREB / Centris (Montreal) — provincial board monthly reports.
- CMHC (Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation) — market reports and housing starts.
Australia 🇦🇺
- CoreLogic Daily Home Value Index (HVI) — the closest thing to a real-time housing index anywhere. Free monthly summary release used here.
- Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) — cash rate, average variable mortgage rate series.
- Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) — Residential Property Price Index (quarterly), dwelling approvals.
- Domain Group — weekly auction clearance rates for Sydney/Melbourne/Brisbane/Adelaide/Perth. The fastest leading indicator in Australian housing.
- REA Group (realestate.com.au) — listings inventory metrics.
- REIQ, REIWA, REIV, REIA — state real estate institute monthly reports.
United Kingdom 🇬🇧
- Nationwide House Price Index — headline UK HPI, released the last working day of the month. Built on Nationwide mortgage approvals.
- Halifax House Price Index — second HPI, monthly, used for cross-check.
- ONS UK House Price Index — official government HPI, monthly with 2-month lag, used for regional/city breakdown.
- Bank of England — Bank Rate, composite 2-year and 5-year fixed mortgage rates.
- Rightmove HPI — weekly asking-price index, leading indicator.
- HM Land Registry Price Paid Data — transaction-level, monthly, ~3-month lag. Used for ground-truth validation.
- Registers of Scotland — Scottish transaction data.
Cross-country macro
- Bank for International Settlements (BIS) — cross-country real residential property prices for historical normalization.
- IMF Global Housing Watch — quarterly real house price indices used for cross-country sanity-checking.
- OECD Housing Statistics — income-to-price ratios across member countries.
Listed-equity leading indicators
Listed homebuilders and real estate ETFs are the only daily-fresh signal we use. Stock prices precede housing data by weeks to months; they're not a substitute for the underlying market data but they're a useful leading-indicator component in the momentum score.
- US: XHB (homebuilder ETF), LEN, DHI, PHM, KBH, NVR, TOL, MTH
- Canada: XRE.TO (REIT ETF), HCG.TO, FN.TO
- Australia: VAP.AX (real estate ETF), SCG.AX, GMG.AX
- UK: TW.L (Taylor Wimpey), PSN.L (Persimmon), BDEV.L (Barratt), BWY.L (Bellway)
Stock prices via Yahoo Finance, fundamentals via Finnhub.
Methodology & license
Full computation methodology is on /methodology. All gauges are published under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).